Last updated: 27 February 2006
With grateful thanks to krinnen, aka Gonzalo, who drew the pictures.
Please note that predicting climates is notoriously complicated and full of approximations, which is why there are no equations on this page and very little quantification. Ideally, I would be able to offer a program which would convert a Map of a planet and its physical data - such as axial inclination and distance from the sun - into a diagram showing the climate at every point of interest on the planet's surface; when I've written this program I will be able to retire for good on the money. In the meantime, the best I can do is talk in generalities without going into too much specific detail.
If you find this page useful, please let me know! As ever, I welcome corrections and suggestions for improvements.
The following assumptions have been made:
For ease of reference, "January" and "July" refer respectively to the
periods shortly after the sun reaches its furthest south and north
respectively, and "April" and "October" to those just after it passes
directly above the equator northwards and southwards respectively. The
"just after" is necessary because the atmosphere acts as a drag on the
heating and cooling processes; thus the hottest time of the year in
the northern hemisphere is typically around mid-to-late July, some
weeks after the summer solstice on 21 June.
About one-third of the way from the ITCZ to the poles is the
high-pressure belt known as the subtropical high-pressure zone,
or STHZ, which is caused by air from the ITCZ cooling and sinking back
to the ground [3][4]. Between the STHZ and the poles is the polar
front or PF, a band of low pressure where cold air from the poles
meets warm air from the STHZ. The interaction between these air masses
at the polar front is responsible for the rain-bearing low-pressure
areas familiar from weather forecasts.
If the surface of the planet was uniformly water, the distribution of
these pressure belts and the prevailing winds
would be as shown below, allowing for seasonal movements, which would
be slight.
In winter, the cooling of the land creates a high-pressure area over
the interior, which merges with the high pressure area around the
STHZ and leaves low-pressure systems over the oceans:
while in summer the land warms to create a low-pressure area, which
joins up with the ITCZ and the PF, leaving high-pressure areas over
the oceans:
In general, these pressure areas are located east of the longitudinal
(east-west) middle of the continent, and are more intense when the
surrounding land mass is larger. This is particularly noticeable with
Asia; if the Eurasian landmass was reversed laterally, the pressure
areas would be considerably less intense. Correspondingly, the
pressure gradient is greater on east coasts than on west coasts; the
precise difference depends on the shape of the continent.
Figures 7p-4 and 7p-5 on this
page show how this works out for the Earth; the animation, one of
many from here,
is also here. Note
particularly the considerable northward movement of the ITCZ in July
over Africa and Asia, the continuous low-pressure zone over the
Antarctic Ocean where there is no land to disrupt the southern PF, and
the change in the air pressure over the interior of eastern Asia.
A good question is: How large is "sufficiently large"? North America
has no monsoon as such, so somewhere between the size of it and of
Asia is probably as good an answer as any.
In winter, the continental high-pressure areas are responsible for
cold waves, which are flows of very cold air eastwards to the
offshore oceanic low. These cold winds pick up moisture as they pass
over the sea, which will be deposited as snow on any mountains they
encounter; western Japan is a terrestrial example.
Ocean currents come in two flavours, depending on the direction in
which they flow: poleward currents, which carry water from hotter
areas to colder areas, are classified as warm, while
equatorward currents are similarly classified as cold. Note
that these are relative terms, thus a particular warm current flowing
to a cold region may actually be colder than a cold current which
flows to a warm region.
The oceanic high-pressure areas of the STHZ give rise in low latitudes
to warm currents along the east coasts of continents and cold currents
along the west coasts. The reverse distinction obtains in
mid-latitudes, because the wind blows around the oceanic low-pressure
areas in the opposite direction. The currents affecting the sample
continent shown above would thus be as follows, with warm currents
shown in red and cold currents in blue:
The Gulf Stream, which keeps western Europe much warmer in winter than
the north-eastern USA and south-eastern Canada, is a classic warm
current.
An important detail about orographic lifting should be observed: after
the wind crosses the mountains it sinks, expands, and warms back up
again. These winds on the leeward sides of mountains (the
rain-shadows) are thus characteristically warm and dry, and are
known as chinook or Föhn, or colloquially as
"snow-eaters" after their ability to melt snow in otherwise cold
climates.
Finally, cold currents cool and stabilise the air, inhibiting the
formation of precipitation, while warm currents heat and destabilise
it, encouraging precipitation [2][7]. The relative amounts of
precipitation due to various factors are shown in the following
table.
Basic principles
Virtually everything important about climates can be deduced from the
following physical principles, which are referred to in [square
brackets]:
Ingredients
You will need the following items before you can proceed any
further.
This image lets you know when you
should think about drawing something.
Pressure-cooking
The first stage consists of locating the large-scale areas of high and
low pressure.The default
The most important is the low-pressure belt called the
inter-tropical convergence zone, or ITCZ, about which the
temperature and pressure characteristics are theoretically
symmetrical; this zone is caused by the rising of hot tropical air
[3][4]. In April and October, the ITCZ lies more or less along the
equator. In the northern summer, it moves northwards, reaching its
farthest north in July; its most southerly position is attained in
January. The range of movement on Earth is about 5 degrees of latitude
over the oceans, and up to 40 degrees over land.
Adding land
The presence of land has two effects on the pressure distribution,
both results of principles [2][3][4]: the pressure belts front bend
northwards over land in July and southwards in January, and they are
broken up by seasonal pressure-areas over the land. In general, the
larger the area of land, the more noticeable the effect.

You need to draw similar diagrams
showing the pressure for January and July. Start by drawing with the
ITCZ, STHZ, and PF, then locate the continental pressure-areas, and
finally join them up as in the diagrams. Different colours for each
stage are a good idea.
Ventilate...
Wind, in meteorological terms, is a flow of air from an area of
high pressure to an area of low pressure [5]; the strength (speed) of
the wind increases with the difference in pressure. Winds have two
important effects on climate: they transport moisture, and -
for our purposes - they are the principle cause of the ocean
currents. Winds pick up moisture as they blow over the oceans and
deposit it as rain or snow over land. Obviously, a wind can only carry
a finite amount of moisture, so it wil become dry after blowing across
a large area of land.Winds
The winds we are interested in here are those which blow at the
surface. Because of the Coriolis effect [6], the winds do not blow
directly from high pressure to low pressure, but are deflected to
blow, in the northern hemisphere, clockwise around high-pressure areas
and anticlockwise around low-pressure areas. In the southern
hemisphere the deflection is in the opposite direction. This
deflection gives rise to the trade winds over the oceans; in
the northern hemisphere they are south-westerlies in mid-latitudes and
north-easterlies otherwise, and in the southern hemisphere
north-westerlies and south-easterlies respectively.The monsoon
On the east and south-east coasts of sufficently large land masses,
pressure gradient will be sufficiently extreme that the resulting
winds will override the prevailing trade winds; they will blow
offshore into the ocean in winter, while the summer low-pressure area
will pull in moisture-laden air from the ocean. This important
seasonal reversal of the winds is, of course, the monsoon; it
is prototypically observable in south-east Asia. The two pictures
below show the general directions of the prevailing winds in winter
(above) and summer (below). Note particularly the monsoon effect on
the east coast.

Ocean currents
The formation and movement of the ocean currents is a complicated
subject, much of which is not of interest here; for our purposes we
are only concerned with currents on the surface of the oceans, which
are caused wholly or mainly by the winds. The Coriolis effect comes
into play again here, deflecting the currents from the path of the
wind; the deflection is greatest (up to 45 degrees) at high latitudes
and least (about 5 degrees) at the equator.
Now is a good time to add the
prevailing winds and ocean currents to your Maps for both January and
July. The currents are easy; don't forget that the winds will blow
more or less in S-shaped double spirals.
... add water...
The annual distribution of the fall of precipitation in the form of
rain and snow is one of the factors which characterise a
particular climate. Rain and snow result from four processes:
| Factor | High precipitation | Low precipitation |
|---|---|---|
| Pressure | ITCZ, on or near the equator | STHZ |
| Mountains | Windward sides | Leeward sides, in rain-shadow |
| Prevailing winds | Onshore | Offshore or parallel |
| Coastal currents | Warm | Cold, especially in low latitudes |
| Location | West coasts subject to the PF, and some way inland | Interiors |
The final stage consists of identifying the closest matching climate
from the table below; it uses a classification sytem similar to the
widely-used system developed by Wladimir Köppen.
You should now be able to work out,
for both January and July, the relative amounts of precipitation on
your Map.
... and place in the oven.
The annual variation in temperature is the other characteristic
feature of a climate. As a first approximation, the temperature is
highest at the equator and decreases steadily towards the poles [1],
subject to the following modifications.Effect of the oceans
Variations in temperature are lowest along the coasts and highest in
areas remote from maritime influence [2]. The variation increases with
the distance from the oceans, and less so with distance from the west
coast; the eastern regions of continental interiors thus experience
the greatest variations in temperature. Incidentally, another
consequence of [2] is that the hottest and coldest times of the year
occur two to three weeks earlier in these regions than at the coasts.
Effect of moisture
Heat is more readily transmitted through clear skies than cloudy
skies; consequently, the less cloud an area receives, the greater will
be its temperature variation during a single day. The higher the
temperature, and the clearer the skies, the more moisture will be lost
during the day through evaporation, which is the opposite of
precipitation. The greatest amounts of evaporation are found in land
areas influenced by the STHZ, where the high-pressure belt is not
conducive to precipitation and thus cloud-formation [7]. These areas
are thus the hottest of all during the day, and cold at night.
You should now be able to work out,
for both January and July, the relative levels of temperature on your
Map.
Checklist
On both of your Maps you should now have indications of the
following:
|   |   | Temperature | Precipitation | Location, for checking | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Köppen | Summer | Winter | Summer | Winter | latitude in degrees |
| Tropical rainforest | Af | Hot | Hot | Wet | Wet | 0-10 |
| Tropical monsoon | Am | Hot | Warm | Very wet | Short and dry | 5-15; east and south-east coasts only |
| Savannah | Aw | Hot | Warm | Wet | Long and dry | 5-15 |
| Hot desert | BWh | Very hot | Warm | Dry | Dry | 10-30, especially on west coasts with cold currents |
| Hot steppe | BSh | Hot | Warm | Low to dry | Low to dry | 10-35; typically next to deserts |
| Cold desert | BWk | Hot | Cold | Dry | Dry | Interiors, rain shadow |
| Cold steppe | BSk | Warm | Cold | Low to dry | Low to dry | Interiors, rain shadow |
| Maritime east coast | Cfa | Hot | Warm to mild | Wet | Moderate | 20-40; east coasts only |
| Maritime west coast | Cfb, Cfc | Warm to mild | Cool to cold | Wet | Wet | 40-60; west coasts only |
| Mediterranean | Csa, Csb | Hot | Mild | Dry | Moderate | 30-45, west coasts only |
| Temperate monsoon | Cwa, Cwb | Hot | Mild to cold | Wet | Dry | 20-40; east coasts only |
| Laurentian | Dfa, Dfb | Warm to mild | Cold | Moderate | Low | 40-60; not on west coasts |
| Subarctic | Dfc, Dfd | Mild to cold | Very cold | Moderate | Very low | 60-80; not on west coasts |
| Manchurian | Dwa, Dwb | Warm to mild | Cold | Moderate | Dry | 40-50; east coasts only |
| Subarctic east | Dwc, Dwd | Mild to cold | Very cold | Moderate | Dry | 45-70; east coasts only |
| Tundra | ET | Cold | Very cold | Low | Dry | 60-80 |
| Icecap | EF | Very cold | Very cold | Low | Dry | 75+ |
The climates given in italics are those which, generally speaking, are subject to the same influences throughout the year. The other climates may be regarded as transitions between these; for example, the mediterranean climate is a combination of hot desert in the summer and maritime west coast in the winter.
Note the following:
The climates appear on the west coast in the following order:
Continental interiors, and areas in the rain-shadows of north-south mountain ranges, will experience dry versions of the climates to the west. The equivalent order of climates would be:
On the east coast, there are two cases to consider, depending on whether the land mass is large enough to generate monsoons. East coasts not subject to the monsoon will feature the following climates:
East coasts of continents where there is a monsoon will feature the following climates:
Vegetables
One of the reasons for being interested in climate is to discover the
types of vegetation which grow in a particular region. This section
describes, in general terms, the vegetation types asociated with the
climate types. More detail, with information about the fauna, can be
found with a Google for "biomes"; for example Introduction
to biomes, Habitats
and biomes, Blue Planet
Biomes, World
Biomes, and - the most detailed - Köppen biomes.
The vegetation of the icecap climate is the simplest to describe: there is none at all, because the temperature is below freezing for most or all of the year. Tundra climates similarly discourage growth for most of the year, but some vegetation grows in the short summer, typically small mosses, lichens, and alpine plants. Equatorward, where the climate borders subarctic, stunted trees may grow.
The characteristic vegetation of the subarctic, subarctic east, and manchurian climates is extensive coniferous forest known as taïga, typically made up of spruce, fir, scots pine, and larch; larch is commonest in the coldest and driest climates, and the deciduous birch, aspen, and alder are also found in the lower altitudes. Despite the low amounts of precipitation, even lower evaporation means that enough moisture is retained to allow the growth of vegetation. Conifers have needle-like leaves to preserve water and strong branches to endure the snow which lies on them for much of the winter.
A mixture of coniferous forests and broadleaved forests characterises the maritime and laurientian climates; the dominant type of forest depends on the proportion of the year in which the temperature is less than 5.5 degrees centigrade (this is 42 degrees Fahrenheit, interestingly). The progression is from evergreen broadleaved through deciduous broadleaved to coniferous as the winters become colder; thus if the temperature is always above 5.5 degrees (i.e. the proportion is zero), the forest wil be mainly or entirely evergreen broadleafed. The dominant type of tree will be coniferous if the proportion is greater than 50%, and deciduous broadleafed if it is between 0% and 50%.
Mediterranean vegetation needs to guard against losing water in the dry summers, and tends towards scrub made of small plants with hard leaves, similar to the chaparral familar from many Western movies. The trees are either coniferous or evergreens with small waxy leaves and thick bark; evergreen oak, pine, cedar, and above all olive are typical mediterranean trees.
Too little moisture is retained in the steppes to allow trees to grow; the principal vegetation is thus extensive grassland, including many cereals. Grassland is also characteristic of the savannah, in which the vegetation dies back in the dry winter but grows vigorously in the summer, reaching heights of up to six feet. Trees in the savannah tend to be isolated and adapted to retain water for the long dry season, such as the baobab. The vegetation of the deserts is scanty, patchy, and specially adapted to the conditions; plants tend to be fleshy and leafless, such as the cactus.
The characteristic vegetation of the tropical rainforest climate is, of course, tropical rainforest: lush, abundant forests with massive trees and an enormous variety of other plants which grow all year round in the ever-present moisture, The large amounts of precipitation leach nutrients from the soil, and as a result the trees have shallow roots and large buttresses at the bases of their trunks. Monsoon vegetation is intermediate between rainforest and savannah: the forests are less dense, many varieties of tree become deciduous to cope with the dry winters, roots are longer, and the plant types are less diverse.
Bear in mind that above a certain speed of rotation the planet will
disintegrate; I have no idea what limit this fixes on the maximum
number of bands of prevailing winds. A faster rotation will also lead
to shorter days and nights, which will doubtless have other
consequences.
What if?
The principles described up to now should work well enough for an
Earthlike planet. This section is intended as a catch-all for
questions not otherwise answered.... my planet rotates in the opposite direction?
Easy - just interchange "east" and "west".
... my planet rotates very fast?
The three bands of prevailing winds in each hemisphere are due to the
speed of the planet's rotation. Above a certain speed of rotation, for
which I am unable to provide figures, the three will become five (they
cannot become four), and in between the STHZ and PF there will appear
another belt each of of low pressure and high pressure. These will
still move north and south with the sun, and the principles can be
applied as before.... my planet has a small axial inclination?
The north-south movement of the pressure belts will be correspondingly
less, and smaller areas will be subject to the climates which undergo
seasonal changes; annual temperature ranges will also be less. The
tropical rainforest, maritime, hot desert, and icecap climates will be
favoured.
... my planet has a large axial inclination?
The reverse of the preceding; season effects will be increased, and
the areas subject to the tropical rainforest, maritime, hot desert,
and icecap climates will be less. A large enough inclination - about
40 degrees - will eliminate these climates altogether.
Paper references